Due to the large power supply load gap, many industrial zones in Guangdong Province stopped production in turn and started off-peak electricity consumption to cope with the power supply problem.
According to "Zhongshan Daily" reported on May 26th, due to the acceleration of economic recovery and the continuous high temperature, the demand for electricity in Guangdong Province has been rising, and some areas in Guangdong have started the peak-shift electricity consumption mode. Some enterprises in Zhongshan have responded to the difficulties by purchasing generators and adjusting working hours.
"Zhongshan Daily" quoted a staff member of Chaozhou Power Supply Bureau as saying that the current load growth in some areas far exceeds expectations, and the power supply is tight or even insufficient at peak hours. If the power is overloaded, "the line is prone to collapse, causing a large-scale load trip and power outage, so some users need to cooperate with the peak shift to control power consumption".
Staggered peak power consumption refers to a series of measures to guide users to adjust their production arrangements in order to solve the short-term imbalance of power consumption load, and transfer part of the load in the peak period of power consumption to the low period of power consumption, so as to reduce the load difference between peak and valley.
According to the interface news, the peak electricity consumption has been in Guangdong Province for two weeks. By the end of May, the power rationing situation continued to increase, the scope was expanded and the time was lengthened. In some places, factories had been open for three times and stopped for four times, which had a negative impact on the order fulfillment of factories, and workers could only be arranged to work in shifts in the morning and evening on the day when the power supply could be normal.
On May 14th, a kitchen equipment manufacturer in Panyu District, Guangzhou disclosed a notice of off-peak electricity utilization, which showed that on May 16th, at the request of the superior power supply bureau, off-peak electricity utilization will be implemented every Saturday and work normally on Sundays, and the off-peak electricity utilization cycle is expected to last for three months.
Subsequently, Foshan, Shantou, Dongguan, Huizhou, Zhuhai, Zhongshan, Chaozhou and other places began to implement off-peak electricity consumption.
On May 18th, Shantou City, Guangdong Province began to implement the "five stops and two stops" orderly power consumption. Industrial users need to take two days off every Tuesday from the benchmark date, and stop producing electricity at 9-12: 00, 14-17: 00 and 18-21: 00 during the peak hours of power consumption, and only keep the security and heat preservation load.
On May 19th, Humen Power Supply Bureau of Guangdong Power Grid issued a document saying that the customers of industrial transformer in the whole town need to implement the orderly power consumption plan from May to December, and impose an additional penalty of 48 hours of power outage on enterprises that unconsciously implement orderly power consumption.
On May 24th, Guzhen Town, Zhongshan City, Guangdong Province began to implement the "five stops and two stops" scheme. According to the notice issued by Guan Wei of the Party and Mass Service Center in Gusan Village, Guzhen Town, from now on, the peak-to-peak power outage will be on Sunday every week, and the power transmission will be stopped from 7: 00 am to 23:00 am every Sunday, and the elevator may not be used.
In addition, some industrial users can’t use electricity for production and work, and can’t turn on high-power electrical appliances, such as air conditioners, even if they have electricity during off-peak electricity consumption.
Since 2014, China’s economy has entered a new normal, the growth rate of electricity demand has slowed down, and the phenomenon of power rationing has rarely occurred. Even if it appears, it is mostly in the peak period of electricity consumption in July and August. Why did it appear in May earlier this year?
Ceng Ming, director of the Energy Internet Research Center of North China Electric Power University, told Interface News that there are four deep-seated reasons.
The first reason is that the electricity consumption plan arrangement is not accurate, which leads to the deviation of electricity demand arrangement on the power supply side; The second reason is that climate factors have a great influence on the demand for electricity. The high temperature weather in Guangdong has led to a significant increase in peak and valley load compared with the past. "Lack of electricity is the lack of peak load."
The third reason is that, due to the great compression of coal-fired power in recent years, the multi-energy complementarity between renewable energy and traditional energy is uncoordinated, which leads to power shortage. The fourth reason is that most of Guangdong’s electricity depends on external calls, and this year’s external calls may deviate from the original plan.
According to the news of Guangdong Electric Power Trading Center, according to the historical data of the 13th Five-Year Plan, May is in the alternate period of dry season and flood season, and the power generation capacity of the main clean energy hydropower is limited, and the maintenance of superimposed units and engineering power outages are relatively concentrated, which is actually the month with the smallest supply margin for the whole year.
From June to September, it entered the summer peak period, and the system load reached the highest value of the year. However, hydropower also entered the annual peak period, and the bidding space of market units was reduced.
But this year, Guangdong Province entered the summer ahead of schedule. The Guangdong Energy Bureau reported on May 21st that since May, the high temperature in Guangdong Province has been continuously high, with a temperature of 35℃, which is 4℃ higher than that in the same period last year, resulting in the rising demand for electricity, which has exceeded the highest load last year.
At the same time, the economic recovery is accelerating, especially the demand for electricity in the secondary and tertiary industries is strong. From January to April, the electricity consumption in the province increased by 32.2% and 40.2% respectively.
On May 10th, the Plan for Orderly Electricity Use in Guangzhou in 2021 approved by Guangzhou Bureau of Industry and Information Technology has shown that the overall power supply in Guangdong Province is expected to be tight in 2021.
Among them, the situation of power supply and demand in the province is severe during the alternation of dry season and summer peak period, and there is a big risk of power shortage. Affected by this, the power supply in Guangzhou power grid may be tight or even short at that time.
According to the research data of Guotai Junan Securities, as of 2018, the proportion of calls from outside Guangdong also exceeded 30%. Among them, Yunnan hydropower is a major power source.
However, in May this year, Yunnan, due to reasons such as not entering the flood season, had a gap in its own power, which led to the inability of western power to increase its power transmission during the tight power supply in Guangdong.
A pre-notice of emergency peak shifting preparation issued by Yunnan Power Grid on May 10th shows that the main reservoirs in Yunnan are seriously overdrawn, the coal storage in thermal power continues to decline, and the power generation is seriously less than expected. There is a power gap of about 700,000 kilowatts at the peak of electricity consumption that day.
The wet and dry seasons are distinct in most parts of Yunnan, with the dry season from November to April of the following year and the rainy season starting around May. According to the China Meteorological Bureau, the southern region entered the flood season late this year, and there was less precipitation in Yunnan in May. Recently, Lijiang City, Yuxi City and other places in Yunnan Province have issued orange warnings for drought.
Interface News contacted the relevant staff of China Southern Power Grid Co., Ltd. (hereinafter referred to as China Southern Power Grid) for matters such as power shortage and off-peak power consumption in Guangdong, but the person did not give a direct response.
Founded in 2002, China Southern Power Grid is responsible for power supply and service in Guangdong, Guangxi, Yunnan, Guizhou and Hainan provinces.